调查显示近五分之一AI研究者预计AI将导致灭绝
原标题：Nearly one in five AI researchers already expected an extinction scenario from AI back in 2024
AI 摘要
Anthropic 研究员 Jacob Coxon 的一条推文引发关于 AI 存在性风险的广泛讨论。OpenAI 研究员 Daniel Selsam 称 AI 进展背后是“定时炸弹”，指出模型会自发形成非预期目标并发展出情境意识；前 DeepMind 研究员 Bilal Chughtai 则表示 AI 有可能杀死全人类。AI Impacts 对 1500 多名顶尖 AI 研究者的调查显示，2024 年研究者平均认为 AI 导致人类灭绝或永久失能的概率约为 18%。
正文节选
Nearly one in five AI researchers already expected an extinction scenario from AI back in 2024 Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon kicked off a massive debate about the existential risks of AI with a single tweet. The scale of the debate is surprising given that what Coxon said isn't new. Scientists and some tech executives have argued for years that AI poses an existential risk to humanity. Their most common fear is that AI could go rogue and, even while trying to pursue human goals, do so in ways