心智市场：512亿状态的智能经济

AI 摘要

该论文提出 Markets of Minds 框架，在专家输出尚未观测之前，就把稀缺的专家推理能力以带类型、有预算约束的合约形式分配给多个智能体，并显式区分修复收益与回退风险。作者构建了包含 512 亿个可寻址人格-市场状态的依赖感知智能体经济，在 30% 援助配额下进行 240 个案例的匹配回放，冻结分配器达到 85.42% 的任务级人格遵循率，比等容量随机分配的 73.86% 高 11.56 个百分点。结果表明援助价值异质且可能为负，稀缺性会改变哪些干预值得购买，从而支持从群体层面看待智能分配。

正文节选

Markets of Minds: A 51-Billion-State Economy of Intelligence Abstract When intelligence is shared, reasoning becomes a constrained allocation problem. In a population of agents with limited access to expert models, an intervention can benefit its recipient yet still be a poor use of shared capacity if another feasible intervention has greater expected value. Assistance must therefore be evaluated through both its marginal benefit and the opportunity cost induced by budgets, access, scarcity, and

发布时间：2026-10-26 12:00

抓取时间：2026-10-26 12:09

来源机构：arXiv