Anthropic经济模型将CEO失业预测视为极端情景

AI 摘要

Anthropic发布了一项经济模型，预测到2030年美国经济在三种情景下的表现。在极端情景下，知识工作者失业率可达17.9%，劳动力收入占比下降。该模型将CEO Amodei关于大量办公室岗位消失的预测视为极端情况，而非基准情景。

正文节选

Anthropic built an economic model that frames its CEO's bleakest job forecasts as an outlier scenario Anthropic published an economic model with three scenarios for the US economy through 2030. In the modest scenario, AI's impact resembles the internet's, with slight GDP growth and stable wages. The middle scenario doubles economic growth, but knowledge worker wages stagnate. Programmers and call center workers would need to move into jobs like electrician or nurse, a hard switch that pushes up

发布时间：2026-09-10 03:39

抓取时间：2026-09-10 04:14

来源机构：THE DECODER