AGI 临近为何人才出走？新实验室的六类研究赌注
原标题：Frontier Radar #5: If AGI is so close, why is everyone leaving? The neolabs and their bets
AI 摘要
THE DECODER 的 Frontier Radar 第 5 期聚焦所谓 neolabs：一批由 OpenAI、Google DeepMind、Meta 等大实验室核心研究者出走创办的研究型 AI 公司。文章梳理了 45 家此类实验室，并按六类研究赌注对其中 27 家做了详细分析。这些创始人押注当前“更大语言模型 + 互联网数据 + 强化学习”的路线不足以通向 AGI，尽管 Nvidia CEO 黄仁勋和 OpenAI 总裁 Greg Brockman 已宣称 AGI 到来。Nvidia、亚马逊等资本大举投入，部分实验室尚无产品即获数十亿美元估值。
正文节选
Frontier Radar #5: If AGI is so close, why is everyone leaving? The neolabs and their bets OpenAI is talking about the AGI era, and Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang says AGI has arrived. At the same time, co-creators of today's models are leaving OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and Meta to start their own labs, raising billions with no product to show. Why? They're betting that the current recipe alone won't be enough. We've sorted 45 neolabs by their research bets, mapped the limitations of today's AI they're