哈佛心理学家平克呼吁以冷静的安全工程取代 AI 末日论
原标题：Harvard psychologist calls for sober AI safety engineering over doomsday rhetoric
AI 摘要
哈佛心理学家史蒂文·平克在 Quillette 发表致科技博主斯科特·亚历山大的公开信，拒绝与其就 AI 生存风险进行公开辩论，称此类活动是“观赏性运动”。平克认为“回形针最大化”等末日场景混淆了智能与支配欲，并假设 AI 会偏执地执着于单一目标。他承认自己此前低估了大语言模型的能力以及 AI 公司发布产品的鲁莽程度，但真正值得重视的危险是生物恐怖主义、网络攻击和不受约束的 AI 智能体，应对之道是建立在独立监督、责任追究和人类控制之上的冷静安全工程。亚历山大则估计 AI 灭绝人类的概率为 20%，主张加强安全研究并达成国际协议以减缓 AI 发展。
正文节选
Harvard psychologist calls for sober AI safety engineering over doomsday rhetoric Harvard psychologist Steven Pinker thinks fears of AI wiping out humanity are overblown. He makes his case in an open letter on Quillette addressed to Scott Alexander, the psychiatrist and influential tech blogger who had challenged him to a public debate on AI's existential risks. Pinker declined, dismissing such events as a "spectator sport." Pinker argues that doomsday scenarios like the paperclip maximizer, in